Season scoreboard · against the spread · through week 7
All square
XOCP
20
20-30-4 · 40%
Vegas
20
20-29-5 · 41%
| Side | W4 | W5 | W6 | W7 | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOCP | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 |
| Vegas | 4 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20 |
In the 28 games where they took opposite sides of the line, XOCP won 14 and Vegas won 14. Every other game they were right or wrong together.
XOCP · Vegas vs XOCP
Week 7 winners
Who wins each game, twice: once from the betting market, and once from XOCP, which adds up every player's fantasy projection on a team into a real score.
XOCP and Vegas pick the same winner in 14 of 14 games. Against the spread so far this week: XOCP right 4 of 9, Vegas right 4 of 9.
14 of 14 games
| GameAway team at home team, kickoff in Eastern time. Open a game to see every player behind XOCP's score. | Vegas favouriteThe team the betting market favours and by how many points: the median spread across books when XOCP made its pick. | MoneylineMedian moneyline across books. Minus is what you risk to win $100; plus is what a $100 bet wins. | Line moveMedian spread from our first capture to the latest, and the close once the game kicks off. The chart rises as the home side becomes a bigger favourite. | XOCP scoreXOCP's projected real score: each player's projected touchdowns, kicks and defensive scores added up. | XOCP winnerWho XOCP's projected scores say wins, and by how much. | AgreeWhether XOCP and Vegas pick the same winner, and how far apart their margins are. | ResultThe final score, and whether XOCP and Vegas each picked the winner. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 PM ET | CHI by 3.09 books | NE +134CHI -157 | CHI -2.5 → CHI -30.5 toward CHI | NE 24.0CHI 27.1 | CHI by 3.1 | Yes0.1 pts apart | NE 24, CHI 30XOCP Right · Vegas Right |
| Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | PIT by 3.09 books | PIT -155NO +130 | PIT -1.5 → PIT -31.5 toward PIT | PIT 23.1NO 21.6 | PIT by 1.6 | Yes1.4 pts apart | PIT 16, NO 10XOCP Wrong · Vegas Right |
| Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | SF by 2.59 books | SF -145ATL +125 | SF -4.5 → SF -2.52 toward ATL | SF 25.7ATL 25.2 | SF by 0.5 | Yes2.0 pts apart | SF 20, ATL 29XOCP Right · Vegas Wrong |
| Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | CIN by 3.09 books | CIN -155BAL +131 | BAL -3.5 → CIN -36.5 toward CIN | CIN 26.0BAL 24.1 | CIN by 1.9 | Yes1.1 pts apart | CIN 35, BAL 13XOCP Wrong · Vegas Right |
| Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | CAR by 3.09 books | TB +138CAR -160 | CAR -2.5 → CAR -30.5 toward CAR | TB 22.7CAR 25.2 | CAR by 2.5 | Yes0.5 pts apart | TB 43, CAR 13XOCP Right · Vegas Wrong |
| Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | HOU by 10.59 books | NYG +374HOU -485 | HOU -7 → HOU -10.53.5 toward HOU | NYG 18.5HOU 29.6 | HOU by 11.1 | Yes0.6 pts apart | NYG 27, HOU 21XOCP Wrong · Vegas Wrong |
| Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | MIN by 7.09 books | IND +267MIN -330 | MIN -5 → MIN -72 toward MIN | IND 19.7MIN 28.6 | MIN by 8.9 | Yes1.9 pts apart | IND 10, MIN 16XOCP Wrong · Vegas Wrong |
| Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NYJ by 3.59 books | MIA +167NYJ -205 | NYJ -4.5 → NYJ -3.51 toward MIA | MIA 18.7NYJ 22.7 | NYJ by 4.0 | Yes0.5 pts apart | MIA 28, NYJ 25XOCP Wrong · Vegas Wrong |
| Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | CLE by 2.09 books | CLE -136TEN +115 | CLE -2 → CLE -2No move | CLE 21.4TEN 19.2 | CLE by 2.2 | Yes0.2 pts apart | CLE 27, TEN 24XOCP Right · Vegas Right |
| Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | DEN by 4.59 books | DEN -230ARI +189 | DEN -5 → DEN -4.50.5 toward ARI | DEN 24.4ARI 20.3 | DEN by 4.1 | Yes0.4 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | DET by 3.59 books | GB +166DET -198 | DET -3.5 → DET -3.5No move | GB 25.6DET 29.8 | DET by 4.1 | Yes0.6 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | LA by 3.09 books | LA -175LV +150 | LA -6.5 → LA -33.5 toward LV | LA 26.1LV 24.2 | LA by 1.9 | Yes1.1 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | SEA by 3.09 books | KC +129SEA -150 | SEA -2.5 → SEA -30.5 toward SEA | KC 21.0SEA 26.6 | SEA by 5.6 | Yes2.6 pts apart | Not played |
| Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | DAL by 4.59 books | DAL -225PHI +189 | PHI -1 → DAL -4.55.5 toward DAL | DAL 25.7PHI 21.8 | DAL by 3.9 | Yes0.6 pts apart | Not played |
How XOCP gets its score
Every player's projected stats for the week (RotoWire, through Sleeper) turned into real points: 6 per rushing or receiving touchdown, 3 per field goal, 1 per extra point, 6 per defensive or return touchdown. Passing touchdowns are already counted as the receiver's. Two-point conversions and safeties are not projected. The per-player numbers are on the projections page.
The Vegas line is the median across the US sportsbooks The Odds API lists. A "pts apart" figure is the gap between the two predicted margins.
Right and Wrong are graded against the spread, not the winner. Vegas is right when the favourite covers. XOCP is right when its predicted margin lands on the same side of the line as the final score. A final on the number is a push.
Read this before trusting XOCP
The projections XOCP adds up very likely already use the betting lines, so the two usually agree, and when they don't the market has the better record. Every pick is recorded before kickoff and graded here after the game, right or wrong.