XOCP · Films
Films
Every film we make, on its own. Search by player, team, or anything the narrator says. Each one comes with the story behind it and the calls we graded.
7 of 7 films
The money is chasing an undrafted rookie. Let it.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Dallas Cowboys · Jalon Daniels · Dak Prescott · Baker Mayfield · Quinnen Williams · Thursday Night Football · Week 5 · betting line
Narration
The money is chasing an undrafted rookie. Should it? Baker Mayfield's thumb is dislocated. Jalon Daniels, undrafted out of Kansas, makes his second start. Monday, Dallas by ten. Wednesday, by eight. The betting writers say money did that, not news. Tampa Bay stops the run. Three point two yards a carry. So Dallas throws. Prescott's last three games: two seventy-nine, two seventy-six, three thirty-five. Daniels has thrown thirty NFL passes. Three were intercepted. But Dallas hasn't picked off a pass all season. And running quarterbacks have gashed this defense. Fifty-four. Sixty-nine. Fifty. Quinnen Williams: Just rushing all as one. All four of us have got to be on the same page. Our call: Dallas wins. Think we're wrong? Come back after the game. We'll own up to it.
Everyone's picking the Bengals. Big mistake.
Trevor Lawrence · Joe Burrow · Jacksonville Jaguars · Cincinnati Bengals · week 4 · against Vegas · point differential · pass rush · run game
Narration
Everyone's picking the Bengals. Are they right? Same record. Both two and one. But Jacksonville is plus forty-six. Cincinnati, plus seventeen. The Jaguars have allowed thirty-six points. The Bengals, sixty-three. Eight sacks for Jacksonville. Seven taken by Burrow. Three hundred fifty-eight yards on the ground. Vegas says Cincinnati by two and a half. So does our own model. We're going against both. Trevor Lawrence: It's a team we haven't beat, and we lost a tough one there early in the season last year. Our call: Jacksonville wins. Think we're wrong? Come back after the game. We'll own up to it.
Carolina's secondary is gone. Sunday night could get ugly.
Detroit Lions · Carolina Panthers · Jared Goff · Aidan Hutchinson · Jaycee Horn · Mike Jackson · Dave Canales · Amon-Ra St. Brown · Sunday Night Football · injured reserve · point spread · week 4
Narration
Carolina just lost both starting corners. Guess who's coming Sunday night? Jaycee Horn and Mike Jackson. Both on injured reserve. Eight-ish weeks, says Dave Canales. Coming to town: Jared Goff. Eight touchdowns. Zero interceptions. And a pass rush with twelve sacks. Aidan Hutchinson has three and a half. Vegas has Detroit by three and a half. Our own model has Detroit too. The catch? Detroit's defense has allowed thirty, forty-one, and twenty-four. Mike Jackson, Wednesday: St. Brown had a hundred seventy-two targets. I watched every last one of them. Our call: Detroit wins. Think we're wrong? Come back after the game. We'll own up to it.
Vegas just knocked 5 points off the Bears. Nobody will say why.
Chicago Bears · New York Jets · Tyson Bagent · Case Keenum · Geno Smith · Ben Johnson · Bryce Young · line movement · quarterback · interceptions · Week 4 · XOCP vs Vegas
Narration
Vegas knocked five points off the Bears this week. Why? Chicago opened as an eight-and-a-half-point favorite. Now? Three and a half. No starter named. Reports say Tyson Bagent, who hasn't started in one thousand fifty-nine days. Zero interceptions for the Jets. And Geno Smith? None in a hundred and two throws. The catch: Bryce Young threw for three sixty-one on this Bears defense. Still, Vegas has Chicago by three and a half. So does our own model. Ben Johnson: I said it last week, and I'll say it again. There was a reason why Tyson Bagent ended training camp as our number two quarterback. Our call: Chicago wins. Think we're wrong? Come back after the game. We'll own up to it.
Half a sack as a rookie. Four in three games now. Mason Graham is the Browns' pass rush.
Mason Graham · Myles Garrett · Aaron Rodgers · Cleveland Browns · Pittsburgh Steelers · pass rush · sacks · Thursday Night Football
Narration
Myles Garrett is gone. So who's getting to the quarterback now? The answer went fifth overall in twenty twenty-five. Seventeen starts. Half a sack. Three games into year two, he has four. No other Brown has more than one. Cleveland traded away a record twenty-three sacks. Graham's pace? Twenty-two point seven. Thursday, he gets Aaron Rodgers. Sacked eight times in three games. In August, Mason Graham said he hoped to make more plays, play a lot of snaps, and then be one of the anchors of this defense. Our call: Mason Graham records at least half a sack. Think we're wrong? Come back after the game. We'll own up to it.
Nine sacks in three weeks. Now Pittsburgh's rush comes to Cleveland.
Deshaun Watson · T.J. Watt · Derrick Harmon · Elgton Jenkins · Teven Jenkins · Cleveland Browns · Pittsburgh Steelers · pass rush · sacks · Thursday Night Football
Narration
Thursday night. Can Deshaun Watson stay on his feet? He's been sacked nine times in three games. Five in Jacksonville. Two in Tampa. Two more against Carolina. Now comes Pittsburgh. Eight sacks of its own. T.J. Watt has three and a half. And two of his linemen, center Elgton Jenkins and guard Teven Jenkins, have been ruled out. The books say one eighty-seven and a half yards. Our own projection says two nineteen. Somebody's wrong. Watson, on Tuesday: It's huge. It's major. It's a great opportunity to showcase what we're about on a big national stage. Our call: Pittsburgh sacks him three times, and he stays under one eighty-seven and a half. Think we're wrong? Come back after the game. We'll own up to it.
The journeyman gets the keys
Case Keenum · Chicago Bears · Philadelphia Eagles · Monday Night Football
Narration
Monday night. Bears and Eagles. Caleb Williams is out. Tyson Bagent got one day of practice. Case Keenum. Thirty-eight. His first regular-season start since 2023. Undrafted out of Houston. Chicago is his eighth franchise. A fifteen-minute talk ran two and a half hours. He's here because of Ben Johnson. Sixty-one yards. The Minneapolis Miracle. He has been here before. Against Vic Fangio's defenses, he's three and oh. No interceptions. And he doesn't have to carry it. Swift and Monangai have run for three hundred sixteen yards in two games. Kickoff, seven fifteen Central. Tonight.