Season scoreboard · against the spread · through week 8
Vegas leads by 4
XOCP
21
21-35-4 · 38%
Vegas
25
25-30-5 · 45%
| Side | W4 | W5 | W6 | W7 | W8 | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOCP | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| Vegas | 4 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 25 |
In the 32 games where they took opposite sides of the line, XOCP won 14 and Vegas won 18. Every other game they were right or wrong together.
XOCP · Vegas vs XOCP
Week 8 winners
Who wins each game, twice: once from the betting market, and once from XOCP, which adds up every player's fantasy projection on a team into a real score.
XOCP takes the Vegas favourite against the spread in 4 of 14 games. Against the spread so far this week: XOCP right 0 of 1, Vegas right 1 of 1.
14 of 14 games
| GameAway team at home team, kickoff in Eastern time. Open a game to see every player behind XOCP's score. | Vegas favouriteThe team the betting market favours and by how many points: the median spread across books when XOCP made its pick. | MoneylineMedian moneyline across books. Minus is what you risk to win $100; plus is what a $100 bet wins. | Line moveMedian spread from our first capture to the latest, and the close once the game kicks off. The chart rises as the home side becomes a bigger favourite. | XOCP scoreXOCP's projected real score: each player's projected touchdowns, kicks and defensive scores added up. | XOCP winnerWho XOCP's projected scores say wins, and by how much. Below it, the side of the Vegas spread that margin puts XOCP on. | AgreeWhether XOCP takes the Vegas favourite against the spread, and how far apart their margins are. XOCP can pick the same winner and still take the underdog when its margin is smaller than the line. | ResultThe final score, and whether XOCP's side and the Vegas favourite each covered the spread. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 PM ET | GB by 3.59 books | CAR +159GB -190 | GB -3.25 → GB -3.50.25 toward GB | CAR 22.9GB 25.8 | GB by 2.9CAR +3.5 vs spread | No0.6 pts apart | CAR 19, GB 27XOCP Wrong · Vegas Right |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | BUF by 3.09 books | BAL +150BUF -175 | BUF -2.5 → BUF -30.5 toward BUF | BAL 26.4BUF 28.5 | BUF by 2.0BAL +3 vs spread | No1.0 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | CIN by 12.59 books | TEN +505CIN -700 | CIN -10 → CIN -12.52.5 toward CIN | TEN 18.1CIN 30.5 | CIN by 12.5TEN +12.5 vs spread | No0.0 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | DAL by 7.09 books | ARI +253DAL -320 | DAL -6.25 → DAL -70.75 toward DAL | ARI 24.4DAL 31.3 | DAL by 6.9ARI +7 vs spread | No0.1 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | DET by 3.59 books | MIN +150DET -180 | DET -3 → DET -3.50.5 toward DET | MIN 25.0DET 25.5 | DET by 0.5MIN +3.5 vs spread | No3.0 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | JAX by 10.09 books | IND +380JAX -500 | JAX -7.5 → JAX -102.5 toward JAX | IND 20.1JAX 29.3 | JAX by 9.1IND +10 vs spread | No0.9 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | NYJ by 1.09 books | LV +101NYJ -121 | NYJ -1.5 → NYJ -10.5 toward LV | LV 23.4NYJ 23.1 | LV by 0.3LV +1 vs spread | No1.3 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | PIT by 3.59 books | CLE +165PIT -195 | PIT -4 → PIT -3.50.5 toward CLE | CLE 19.2PIT 22.1 | PIT by 2.9CLE +3.5 vs spread | No0.6 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | TB by 2.59 books | ATL +115TB -141 | TB -0.5 → TB -2.52 toward TB | ATL 22.3TB 25.1 | TB by 2.8TB -2.5 vs spread | Yes0.3 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET | LA by 6.59 books | LAC +238LA -295 | LA -7.25 → LA -6.50.75 toward LAC | LAC 21.3LA 26.6 | LA by 5.3LAC +6.5 vs spread | No1.3 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET | KC by 1.09 books | KC -120DEN +100 | KC -1.5 → KC -10.5 toward DEN | KC 22.1DEN 21.2 | KC by 0.9DEN +1 vs spread | No0.1 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET | NE by 7.09 books | NE -330MIA +267 | NE -7.5 → NE -70.5 toward MIA | NE 24.9MIA 17.4 | NE by 7.5NE -7 vs spread | Yes0.5 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET | WAS by 6.09 books | PHI +211WAS -255 | WAS -4 → WAS -62 toward WAS | PHI 18.7WAS 25.6 | WAS by 6.9WAS -6 vs spread | Yes0.9 pts apart | Not played |
| Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET | SEA by 3.09 books | CHI +145SEA -171 | SEA -3 → SEA -3No move | CHI 21.8SEA 28.1 | SEA by 6.3SEA -3 vs spread | Yes3.3 pts apart | Not played |
How XOCP gets its score
Every player's projected stats for the week (RotoWire, through Sleeper) turned into real points: 6 per rushing or receiving touchdown, 3 per field goal, 1 per extra point, 6 per defensive or return touchdown. Passing touchdowns are already counted as the receiver's. Two-point conversions and safeties are not projected. The per-player numbers are on the projections page.
The Vegas line is the median across the US sportsbooks The Odds API lists. A "pts apart" figure is the gap between the two predicted margins.
Right and Wrong are graded against the spread, not the winner. Vegas is right when the favourite covers. XOCP is right when its predicted margin lands on the same side of the line as the final score. A final on the number is a push.
Read this before trusting XOCP
The projections XOCP adds up very likely already use the betting lines, so the two usually agree, and when they don't the market has the better record. Every pick is recorded before kickoff and graded here after the game, right or wrong.